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Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

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Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for CVE, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Weather around the name 4 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sector × region …

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 61/100 · S&P 500 fund at 75, bullish alignedEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-10-06
  • Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 98th percentile of the window, +5.7% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-10-06
  • Sector × region Energy in US: +3.6% week · +0.1% month · +15.3% quarter · +9.6% yearThe Sector Engine cell this name lives in, from XLE.US; the 11 × 4 matrix shows where its sector is being bought and where it is being sold. Sector Engine → 2026-10-06
  • Sovereign pressure Index 0.74 · up 0.17 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-10-06
How it trades on rate days beta −1.23 to TLT · on the worst bond days it held up better than the market

How it trades on rate days

How CVE has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year −1.23 — moves strongly against bonds for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Cenovus Energy Inc moved −1.23% on average · correlation −0.32 · higher than 1% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months −1.46 less rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days +0.95% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days +0.64% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Oil & Gas Integrated · US · 7 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Oil & Gas Integrated · US

Names in the same industry from the Closelooknet universe; scored names rank on their Closelooknet score, the rest on trend state.

Compared against CVE on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — Cenovus Energy Inc

CVE in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Cenovus Energy develops, produces, refines and markets crude oil, natural gas and refined products across Canada, the United States and China. It runs an Upstream side that produces heavy oil and bitumen along with NGL and natural gas assets in Alberta and British Columbia, plus offshore work off Canada's East Coast and in Asia Pacific. Its Downstream side runs an upgrading and asphalt refining complex, a rail terminal, ethanol plants and a fuels business that turns crude into petrol, diesel and jet fuel. It is based in Calgary.
Where it sits in the stack
Cenovus carries no seat in Rubin, our AI build-out index, or in Halo; it sits in the diary's Energy sleeve for the United States, alongside other scored oil and gas names we track outside the build-out theme.
Who it is priced against
Closelooknet's peer group places it with other Energy names scored for the United States, including Permian Resources, Ecopetrol, YPF, BP, Petrobras, Venture Global and Chord Energy; the market also compares it with Suncor as an integrated Canadian producer.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
It carries a Closelooknet score with momentum as the strongest module and quality as the weakest; it holds no index seat and no quote history in the diary so far.
What the diary watches
Whether the gap between its strong momentum reading and weaker quality score narrows as refining margins and heavy oil differentials move.

Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE) trades on US exchanges, classified under Energy.

The Closelooknet company score reads 63/100 composite (momentum 78, quality 55, valuation 82) across 7 modules — the full breakdown, chart structure and analog history load live above.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 1.95%, quarterly · buybacks 2.50 bn USD in FY2025

Dividends and capital return

What CVE pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 0.61 USD per share · a 1.95% yield on the 2026-10-06 close 4 distributions, paid quarterly 2026-10-06
  • Change on the year +46.4% against the prior twelve months prior twelve months 0.42 USD per share
  • Last distribution 0.16 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-09-15
  • By calendar year 2025: 0.56 USD (partial) · 2026: 0.47 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2025-03-14
  • Dividends paid, FY2025 1.44 bn USD 23% of earnings
  • Buybacks, FY2025 2.50 bn USD 4.4% of today's market value
  • Share count −2.3% in FY2025 163 m USD of stock-based compensation in the year
  • Capital returned 3.93 bn USD · 116% of free cash flow dividends and buybacks together, against the year’s free cash flow

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-10-07

Quick answers

What is Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE)?

Cenovus Energy Inc trades as CVE on the US exchange (US) and is classified under Energy in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-10-07.

Is CVE in a Closelooknet index?

Not currently — Cenovus Energy Inc is tracked in the Closelooknet research universe but is not a constituent of a Closelooknet functional index as of 2026-10-07.

What is Cenovus Energy Inc's Closelooknet composite score?

63 out of 100, with momentum 78, quality 55 and valuation 82 sub-scores, as of 2026-10-07. Scores are Closelooknet's own research readings, not ratings or investment advice.

Where does CVE trade against its moving averages?

Pullback inside an uptrend stack: Trades -0.4% vs the 50-day and +20.2% vs the 200-day average, 8.4% below the 52-week high and +102.3% off the 52-week low. Computed from daily closes. As of 2026-10-06 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How does Cenovus Energy Inc compare with its peers?

Against its peer group (Oil & Gas Integrated · US), Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE) sits 8.4% below its 52-week high, 0.4% below its 50-day average; Ecopetrol SA ADR (EC) is 7.7% below, Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA ADR (PBR) is 3.9% below, Eni SpA ADR (E) is 5.5% below. Put any of them next to CVE in the chart grid (2×1 or 2×2) and the page lays the companies side by side: performance, trend, valuation, margins and our money-flow reading.

How does Cenovus Energy Inc trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Cenovus Energy Inc had a beta of −1.23 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it moves strongly against bonds, higher than 1% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved +0.95% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

What does Cenovus Energy Inc do?

Cenovus Energy develops, produces, refines and markets crude oil, natural gas and refined products across Canada, the United States and China. It runs an Upstream side that produces heavy oil and bitumen along with NGL and natural gas assets in Alberta and British Columbia, plus offshore work off Canada's East Coast and in Asia Pacific. Its Downstream side runs an upgrading and asphalt refining complex, a rail terminal, ethanol plants and a fuels business that turns crude into petrol, diesel and jet fuel. Closelooknet's peer group places it with other Energy names scored for the United States, including Permian Resources, Ecopetrol, YPF, BP, Petrobras, Venture Global and Chord Energy; the market also compares it with Suncor as an integrated Canadian producer.

Where does Cenovus Energy Inc sit in the AI build-out?

Cenovus carries no seat in Rubin, our AI build-out index, or in Halo; it sits in the diary's Energy sleeve for the United States, alongside other scored oil and gas names we track outside the build-out theme. It carries a Closelooknet score with momentum as the strongest module and quality as the weakest; it holds no index seat and no quote history in the diary so far.

Does Cenovus Energy Inc pay a dividend?

Cenovus Energy Inc has paid 0.61 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid quarterly, a trailing yield of 1.95% on the 2026-10-06 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 0.16 USD on 2026-09-15. In fiscal 2025 the company paid 1.44 bn USD in dividends and bought back 2.50 bn USD of its own shares, 116% of that year’s free cash flow. The share count fell 2.3% over the fiscal year. The "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for CVE, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Related in the Closelooknet universe

then Oil & Gas Integrated, then Energy. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.