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Old National Bancorp (ONB) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

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Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for ONB, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Weather around the name 4 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sector × region …

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 61/100 · S&P 500 fund at 75, bullish alignedEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-10-06
  • Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 98th percentile of the window, +5.7% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-10-06
  • Sector × region Financials in US: 0.0% week · −6.7% month · −1.4% quarter · +11.4% yearThe Sector Engine cell this name lives in, from XLF.US; the 11 × 4 matrix shows where its sector is being bought and where it is being sold. Sector Engine → 2026-10-06
  • Sovereign pressure Index 0.74 · up 0.17 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-10-06
How it trades on rate days beta 0.17 to TLT · on the worst bond days it held up better than the market

How it trades on rate days

How ONB has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 0.17 — shows only a loose link to bond moves for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Old National Bancorp moved 0.17% on average · correlation 0.06 · higher than 18% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 0.03 about the same as over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days −0.25% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days +1.41% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Banks - Regional · US · 8 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Banks - Regional · US

Names in the same industry from the Closelooknet universe; scored names rank on their Closelooknet score, the rest on trend state.

Compared against ONB on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — Old National Bancorp

ONB in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Old National Bancorp is the holding company for Old National Bank, a US regional lender offering consumer and commercial banking. It takes deposits across chequing, savings and money-market accounts, and lends to households and businesses, including commercial, real-estate and agricultural loans. Beyond lending it runs wealth management, trust, brokerage and treasury services, and is based in Evansville, Indiana.
Where it sits in the stack
Old National carries no seat in our indices; it sits in the Financial Services sector, within the US regional banking segment of the universe the diary tracks alongside other domestic lenders.
Who it is priced against
Closelooknet's peer group places it with scored Financial Services names based in the US, a broad sort spanning banks, brokers and asset managers such as Sumitomo Mitsui, Mizuho, Brookfield, TPG and Credicorp; the market itself would more often set it against a similarly sized regional lender such as M&T Bank.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
Old National carries a Closelooknet score, with valuation the strongest of its seven modules and quality the weakest; it holds no seat in Rubin or Halo and has not been quoted in the diary's editions.
What the diary watches
Whether the quality module improves from its current low standing, and whether the stock's move toward the analyst target narrows or widens the gap the diary currently sees between price and that estimate.

Old National Bancorp (ONB) trades on US exchanges, classified under Financial Services.

The Closelooknet company score reads 50/100 composite (momentum 58, quality 62, valuation 68) across 7 modules — the full breakdown, chart structure and analog history load live above.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 2 analyst actions on the wire · latest: price target by Raymond James, 2026-10-06

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for ONB from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target Raymond James — target 29 Target set to $29 (+16.7% to spot) 2026-10-06
  • Price target JPMorgan — target 32 Target set to $32 (+25% to spot) 2026-09-11

2 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 2 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 2.89%, quarterly · buybacks 72 m USD in FY2025

Dividends and capital return

What ONB pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 0.72 USD per share · a 2.89% yield on the 2026-10-06 close 5 distributions, paid quarterly 2026-10-06
  • Change on the year +71.4% against the prior twelve months prior twelve months 0.42 USD per share
  • Last distribution 0.15 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-09-04
  • By calendar year 2025: 0.56 USD (partial) · 2026: 0.58 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2025-03-05
  • Dividends paid, FY2025 225 m USD 23% of earnings
  • Buybacks, FY2025 72 m USD 0.8% of today's market value
  • Share count +25.3% in FY2025 38 m USD of stock-based compensation in the year
  • Capital returned 297 m USD · 47% of free cash flow dividends and buybacks together, against the year’s free cash flow

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-10-07

Quick answers

What is Old National Bancorp (ONB)?

Old National Bancorp trades as ONB on the US exchange (US) and is classified under Financial Services in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-10-07.

Is ONB in a Closelooknet index?

Not currently — Old National Bancorp is tracked in the Closelooknet research universe but is not a constituent of a Closelooknet functional index as of 2026-10-07.

What is Old National Bancorp's Closelooknet composite score?

50 out of 100, with momentum 58, quality 62 and valuation 68 sub-scores, as of 2026-10-07. Scores are Closelooknet's own research readings, not ratings or investment advice.

Where does ONB trade against its moving averages?

Pullback inside an uptrend stack: Trades -3.7% vs the 50-day and +2.6% vs the 200-day average, 9% below the 52-week high and +31.6% off the 52-week low. Computed from daily closes. As of 2026-10-06 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How does Old National Bancorp compare with its peers?

Against its peer group (Banks - Regional · US), Old National Bancorp (ONB) sits 9.0% below its 52-week high, 3.7% below its 50-day average; Mizuho Financial Group Inc. (MFG) is 3.0% below, Piraeus Bank S.A. (PIRBF) is at its high, United Bankshares Inc (UBSI) is 7.2% below. Put any of them next to ONB in the chart grid (2×1 or 2×2) and the page lays the companies side by side: performance, trend, valuation, margins and our money-flow reading.

How does Old National Bancorp trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Old National Bancorp had a beta of 0.17 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it shows only a loose link to bond moves, higher than 18% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved −0.25% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

What does Old National Bancorp do?

Old National Bancorp is the holding company for Old National Bank, a US regional lender offering consumer and commercial banking. It takes deposits across chequing, savings and money-market accounts, and lends to households and businesses, including commercial, real-estate and agricultural loans. Beyond lending it runs wealth management, trust, brokerage and treasury services, and is based in Evansville, Indiana. Closelooknet's peer group places it with scored Financial Services names based in the US, a broad sort spanning banks, brokers and asset managers such as Sumitomo Mitsui, Mizuho, Brookfield, TPG and Credicorp; the market itself would more often set it against a similarly sized regional lender such as M&T Bank.

Where does Old National Bancorp sit in the AI build-out?

Old National carries no seat in our indices; it sits in the Financial Services sector, within the US regional banking segment of the universe the diary tracks alongside other domestic lenders. Old National carries a Closelooknet score, with valuation the strongest of its seven modules and quality the weakest; it holds no seat in Rubin or Halo and has not been quoted in the diary's editions.

Does Old National Bancorp pay a dividend?

Old National Bancorp has paid 0.72 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid quarterly, a trailing yield of 2.89% on the 2026-10-06 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 0.15 USD on 2026-09-04. In fiscal 2025 the company paid 225 m USD in dividends and bought back 72 m USD of its own shares, 47% of that year’s free cash flow. The share count rose 25.3% over the fiscal year. The "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on Old National Bancorp recently?

The most recent analyst action on Old National Bancorp on the Closelooknet wire is a price target by Raymond James on 2026-10-06 (target 29). 2 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 2 target changes. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for ONB, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Related in the Closelooknet universe

then Banks - Regional. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.