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State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust (SPY) — Technical state
As of 2026-10-06 — re-computed nightly across the coverage universe. Closelooknet diary readings, not advice.
Uptrend stack intact
Trades +1.9% vs the 50-day and +8.1% vs the 200-day average, 0.3% below the 52-week high and +23.8% off the 52-week low. Computed from daily closes.
The moving-average stack
- vs 20-day+1.8%
- vs 50-day+1.9%
- vs 200-day+8.1%
- 52-week band0.3% off the high · +23.8% off the low
- Streak4 consecutive up sessions
- 50-day crossprice crossed up through the 50-day 13 sessions ago
- Stochastic%K 89.3 · %D 77.7
Continue: the SPY chart & overview · the signal board
FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-10-06
Quick answers
What is the current Closelooknet signal on SPY?
Uptrend stack intact — Trades +1.9% vs the 50-day and +8.1% vs the 200-day average, 0.3% below the 52-week high and +23.8% off the 52-week low. Computed from daily closes. As of 2026-10-06; the signal board re-computes across the coverage universe nightly. A research diary reading, not advice.
Is SPY above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
As of 2026-10-06, State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust trades +1.9% above its 50-day and +8.1% above its 200-day average, with the 20-day +1.8% away.
How far is SPY from its 52-week high?
0.3% below the 52-week high and 23.8% above the 52-week low, as of 2026-10-06.
Mentioned on Closelooknet
Where SPY appears in the diary — 97 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.
Long reads
- Earnings — Post-Earnings Announcement Drift
The CAR was almost identical at T+3 (−13.97%) and T+63 (−14.03%) — but the underlying mechanic differed: T+3 was the immediate gap-down reaction; T+63 was the SPY rally (+7.14%) that CRM didn't participate in (−6.89% absolute).
- Magnificent Seven — Without Tesla, the Six Are Beating the Market
Table as text Basket Week 1 month 3 months 2026 1 year Mag-6 (ex Tesla), equal weight +2.8% +7.9% +22.3% +14.1% +19.3% Mag-7, equal weight +2.7% +7.6% +19.0% +9.6% +14.8% Tesla +2.2% +6.2% −0.8% −17.3% −12.1% S&P 500 (SPY) +1.3% +0.7%…
- Software vs Semis — The Axis Turned
The broad-index version: SPXT / SPY over one year.
- Gold and Bitcoin — The Hedges Bear No Interest
- AI Capex — The Tell Fired Twice
The week, for the record Closelook indices (EW) Week Post-print (Wed→Fri) Markets (wk) Rubin Build-Out +0.4% −4.3% S&P 500 (SPY) −0.6% Agentic Infrastructure −2.9% −2.4% Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) −1.6% · 684.23, below the 686.37 floor Agentic…
- Sector Rotation — Three Rotations, One Week
- Earnings Season — The Bar Meets Its First Prints
- Stock Picking — The Haystack and the Needle · Closelooknet Heresy XII
On the odds: “We find that the percentage of bootstrapped mutual fund portfolios that outperform the SPY during the full thirty-year sample decreases from 47.5% at the monthly horizon to 5.5% at the 30-year horizon.” And on…
101 and glossary
- Beta Convexity
How Closelooknet Measures It Closelooknet's market-structure toolbox computes up-beta and down-beta per name against SPY as the benchmark, reporting the convexity gap alongside other structural metrics such as drawdown behavior.
- Bollinger Coiling: When Volatility Compresses Before Expanding
Coils in the macro basket — particularly in SPY, QQQ, and TLT — are disproportionately informative.
- Cascade Tracker: The 5-Domino Model of Regime Breakdown
If pairs break out-of-order (say, TLT-SPY before QQQ-SPY), it signals something unusual about the stress source — rate-driven rather than risk-appetite-driven, for example.
- Cointegration: When the Rules of the Game Change
The SPY/GLD relationship, the equity-bond correlation, the gold-dollar inverse — these are the structural assumptions that underpin portfolio construction.
- Hurst Exponent: Persistence, Mean-Reversion, or Random Walk
For a pair like SPY-GLD, the spread's Hurst tells you whether the current market is treating the relationship as a mean-reverting equilibrium (healthy) or as a trending divergence (breaking).
- Money Temperature: Measuring Regime Intensity, Not Predicting Direction
The practical value comes from cross-reading: when SPY reads 72 and TLT reads 25, that configuration has a name, a history, and actionable implications.
- Sector Relative Strength: RRG Without the Jargon
Time Horizons 21-day RRG : Tactical rotation, useful for short-term positioning 63-day RRG : Medium-term sector cycles, useful for portfolio tilts 252-day RRG : Structural rotation, useful for thematic positioning Closelooknet’s Lab…
- Stack Flip: When Price Crosses the 200-Day Moving Average
Ignoring flips in major macro instruments (SPY, QQQ, TLT, GLD) means missing the moments when regimes visibly change.
Dailies
- Stocks — broadly lower after the records: Russell 2000 −1.4%, power and cooling names sold, Penguin +15.3%
- Storage — Seagate −9.2%, Western Digital −6.9% on a record day for the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq
- Nasdaq — record close at 27,477 while the chip funds sit 5–15% below their June peaks
- S&P 500 — record high as Marvell jumps 7.6% on its investor day; chip-machine makers slide
S&P 500 at a record: high of 7,843 above its 7,817 peak of 13 August; SPY +0.83% to $781.27, QQQ +0.83%, DIA +0.72%, RSP +0.77%, small caps IWM −0.09%
- Asia — Nikkei back near 70,000, Taiwan +2.4%; euro at a 17-month low, US futures slightly lower
US stocks closed the week higher: the S&P 500 fund SPY +0.74%, the Nasdaq-100 fund QQQ +1.02%, small caps +0.90%.
- Brazil — stocks jump 13% after Bolsonaro leads round one; US 10-year hits 5.35%, stocks rise anyway
Stocks rise anyway: S&P 500 fund SPY $774.21 (+0.59%), Nasdaq-100 fund QQQ +0.68%, Dow fund DIA +0.12%, small caps IWM +0.55%, equal-weight RSP +0.53%
- Jobs day — futures +0.3% before payrolls; Nike −8.7% after hours, Accenture holds +15.8%
By the close all three US indices had turned up: the S&P 500 fund SPY +0.18%, the Nasdaq-100 fund QQQ +0.31%, the Dow fund DIA flat.
- Jobs-day rally fades — weak payrolls lift stocks at the open, then yields turn up and the Dow goes flat